Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f91a0750e1837c5c6a3dea85ec33cc096ae5018c08a6f414b8e26680c09ee49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 72c | 3,998$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.39 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 2,600$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 2,528$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 1,949$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.68 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 1,741$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 30c | 1,466$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 760$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 28c | 523.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.42 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 514.74$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 26c | 507$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 488.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 50c | 375.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 29c | 362.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 266.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 29c | 207.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 55c | 159.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 143.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 36c | 140$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 69c | 125.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 113.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 45c | 105.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 89.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 68.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 68.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 66.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 42.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…06c8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 71c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…8e02backed No | 74c | 22.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 17.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 16.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.