TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rublevof Popyrin, Rublev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Popyrin39c101,639$39,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,631.834436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Rublev61c30,443$18,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,872.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Rublev61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,700850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rublev62c18,903$11,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.161,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rublev61c16,020$9,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.84548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rublev65c13,453$8,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.541,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Rublev63c9,787$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.042653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20c…d091backed Rublev65c9,156$5,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+148.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Popyrin46c6,369$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9332141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Popyrin40c5,626$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.1696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Popyrin35c5,301$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.159935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Popyrin37c4,900$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.7117833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rublev61c3,779$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.681,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Rublev61c2,743$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Popyrin45c2,369$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Popyrin34c2,192$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Popyrin41c2,169$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Popyrin47c2,079$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.439144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Popyrin38c1,993$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.641,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Popyrin44c1,941$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.241833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Rublev61c1,543$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7712737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Rublev62c1,150$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.54845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Rublev65c1,087$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4415957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rublev47c1,066$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Popyrin53c1,007$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Popyrin36c941.38$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7730530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev65c920$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.412954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ad…92abbacked Popyrin54c874.43$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Popyrin36c850$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rublev73c811.62$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Popyrin37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29611652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Rublev58c631.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.712030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Popyrin38c619.52$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Popyrin35c508$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.831650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Popyrin37c477.41$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0312737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Popyrin53c469.95$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.724751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Rublev68c441.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.652161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Rublev65c402.38$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.838052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Popyrin33c399.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9915452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Rublev61c377.25$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Rublev55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.412134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Popyrin62c320.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rublev66c310.94$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.292725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Rublev50c301.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.924942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Popyrin35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511457.9%66 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Popyrin37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Popyrin34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.317349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Popyrin41c294.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.787521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Popyrin42c283.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.872,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Popyrin38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Popyrin38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Rublev76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.168453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Popyrin38c260.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…cf1fbacked Popyrin58c254.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Popyrin52c252.89$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.152544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Popyrin36c230$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.718338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Popyrin63c223.09$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5512949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0d…786fbacked Rublev66c216.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.442965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Popyrin53c209.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.674151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Popyrin46c206.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.753234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Rublev39c205.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.576835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rublev65c199.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6851243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Popyrin36c180.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Popyrin44c178.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Popyrin39c169.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rublev61c158.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7395140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Rublev66c157.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5838356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Popyrin62c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3181938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rublev67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2573147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rublev66c146.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9717767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Rublev51c141.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0331255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Popyrin36c139.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.814540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…bdcabacked Rublev64c133.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.212871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Rublev39c127.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Popyrin38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.828451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Popyrin55c102.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5910138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Rublev50c100.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.164540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Popyrin39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396154.1%33 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Popyrin47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.034843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Rublev61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Popyrin38c94.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5481…2841backed Rublev58c94.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Popyrin57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Popyrin36c82.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.539154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rublev64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed Rublev66c76.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.093847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f7…facbbacked Rublev40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Popyrin35c73.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.771250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Rublev61c60.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.755648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Popyrin36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Popyrin35c52.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.757236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Rublev65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Rublev39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3351252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Popyrin41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.513762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Rublev67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7816761.1%102 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Popyrin33c44.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Popyrin38c41.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7336040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…b83fbacked Popyrin64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick65cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.