Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05eea60b2b6d25b06f21a7b6b28843f4cbc15aad21b5f8c609b2cf9355bd98fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Norrie | 11c | 75,591$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Norrie | 13c | 70,344$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.06 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Djokovic | 79c | 44,345$35,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300.28 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Norrie | 10c | 31,693$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.15 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Norrie | 22c | 25,893$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.24 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Norrie | 10c | 11,222$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.18 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Norrie | 3c | 7,667$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Norrie | 18c | 6,088$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.91 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Norrie | 14c | 5,795$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.22 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Norrie | 12c | 4,990$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Norrie | 18c | 4,182$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.13 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Norrie | 11c | 3,900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Norrie | 10c | 2,974$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Norrie | 14c | 2,178$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Norrie | 15c | 2,111$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Norrie | 9c | 2,067$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Norrie | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Djokovic | 74c | 1,814$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Norrie | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Norrie | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Norrie | 26c | 1,047$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Norrie | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Norrie | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Norrie | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Norrie | 6c | 777.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…21eabacked Norrie | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Norrie | 9c | 700.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Norrie | 7c | 626.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Norrie | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Norrie | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Norrie | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Norrie | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Norrie | 9c | 460.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Norrie | 18c | 458.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Norrie | 23c | 458.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Norrie | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Djokovic | 64c | 437.49$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Djokovic | 80c | 422.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norrie | 12c | 418.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Norrie | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Norrie | 18c | 354$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…2468backed Norrie | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Norrie | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Norrie | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Norrie | 16c | 225.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Norrie | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Norrie | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Norrie | 11c | 166.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Norrie | 20c | 164.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Djokovic | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Djokovic | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Norrie | 8c | 141.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Norrie | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Norrie | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 40.3%143 W · 212 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Norrie | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Norrie | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Norrie | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Djokovic | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Djokovic | 79c | 28.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Djokovic | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Djokovic | 68c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.