TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c34,243$18,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,031.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No47c31,531$14,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,711.497762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No49c5,714$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.6627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No46c1,786$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.6350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No41c1,734$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.532240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c1,680$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88514244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes59c1,356$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No50c1,332$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes38c1,320$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No45c1,043$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.1312251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes54c860.32$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.581520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes50c794.5$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.253458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c713.71$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes18c569.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc6…c3e4backed Yes55c500$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes48c494.44$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No40c478.5$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.16860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No42c470.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5910250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c359.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c339.64$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1824145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes58c254.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes61c254.38$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.172740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.65759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes25c227.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+58.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes59c190$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.23372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No71c177.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No42c171.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4312757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes60c165.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed No52c144.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No42c143$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6169…b054backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f48…c790backed Yes58c119.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No40c113.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes56c111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.162611.5%3 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes50c110.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No44c104.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.489147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aa4…a202backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c95…ebecbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.711261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes56c87.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes20c73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.817744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes56c64.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.913243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No76c63.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed Yes56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Yes26c51.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3048934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes49c41.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No41c38.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d9…407dbacked Yes60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No52c33.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.738452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes57c30.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.661936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…8b66backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.