La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f65648d09439f4b6ce857942f483e257e386dc5fb617f7637373ecc97f6a8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 7,869$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.92 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 5,709$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.59 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 2,331$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.9 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 75c | 820.11$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 68c | 475.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 25c | 420.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 306.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 76c | 179.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 136.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 113.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 30c | 99.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 32c | 97.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 24c | 83.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 77.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 25c | 67.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 69c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 76c | 62.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 54.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 32c | 47.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed No | 72c | 22.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 18.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.