MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23f5fd2b1b1b526a9a008343b994a121e54bce25fa3cdae2306048fa5e16022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Athletics | 43c | 200,000$86,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox | 57c | 196,676$112,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,105.6 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 54c | 19,745$10,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,718.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 42c | 14,150$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 41c | 11,000$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,489.89 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 43c | 8,367$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 6,710$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 23c | 5,319$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Red Sox | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Red Sox | 57c | 3,929$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.05 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 42c | 3,810$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 20c | 3,179$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,884$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Red Sox | 18c | 2,797$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,713$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.3 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Athletics | 74c | 2,446$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.7 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 2,358$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 57c | 2,135$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.21 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 2,055$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.78 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Athletics | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,974$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.12 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 18c | 1,891$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.56 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,880$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,778$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.24 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,640$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Athletics | 42c | 1,590$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Red Sox | 26c | 1,563$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,499$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.65 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,324$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 54c | 1,228$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.21 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Athletics | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 68c | 988$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 49c | 963.87$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 9c | 952.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 23c | 918.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 900$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 43c | 866$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.62 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 58c | 699$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.42 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Red Sox | 59c | 625.42$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Red Sox | 57c | 603.61$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.31 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 543.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Red Sox | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Red Sox | 38c | 441.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Red Sox | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Athletics | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 31c | 341$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 340$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…5c09backed Athletics | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d5…41aebacked Red Sox | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Red Sox | 49c | 297.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Red Sox | 42c | 286.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…144cbacked Red Sox | 59c | 270.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 65c | 251.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Red Sox | 21c | 239.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…709dbacked Athletics | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 43c | 226.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Red Sox | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Red Sox | 58c | 202.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Red Soxthis page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.