Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Lehecka vs. Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444c2331c24bc2877a9dbf1aa609ba12476f34d1dfa9c7d369d9c57b7a34094c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lehecka | 74c | 121,167$90,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,948.41 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Walton | 26c | 120,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Walton | 17c | 5,497$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Walton | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Walton | 17c | 1,132$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Walton | 25c | 930.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Lehecka | 79c | 736.02$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Walton | 17c | 638.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lehecka | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lehecka | 75c | 583.05$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Lehecka | 80c | 553.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Lehecka | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Walton | 14c | 426.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Walton | 24c | 411.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Walton | 25c | 398.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Walton | 27c | 367.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Walton | 28c | 357.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Walton | 23c | 326.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Walton | 21c | 280.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Walton | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lehecka | 78c | 218.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Walton | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Walton | 22c | 153.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Walton | 8c | 141.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Walton | 16c | 138.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Lehecka | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Lehecka | 79c | 97.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Lehecka | 75c | 88.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Walton | 26c | 85.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Lehecka | 79c | 60.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Lehecka | 75c | 56.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Lehecka | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.