WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs. Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743f7d79096b273d19a3742eb3ce79bb9ad4752d5c626ea7a715101d0b1841b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Lynx, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Lynx | 58c | 5,608$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Fever | 68c | 4,906$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Lynx | 2c | 4,450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Lynx | 19c | 2,374$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Lynx | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.73 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Fever | 42c | 1,958$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.59 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Lynx | 28c | 1,832$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Fever | 45c | 1,323$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fever | 42c | 1,204$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Fever | 45c | 1,173$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Fever | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Fever | 41c | 850$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lynx | 59c | 790.84$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Lynx | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 41c | 665$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx | 28c | 649.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 80c | 640$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 57c | 600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fever | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Lynx | 9c | 597.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lynx | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever | 43c | 533.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.12 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fever | 48c | 505.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 60c | 483.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fever | 75c | 472.29$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Lynx | 22c | 469.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lynx | 25c | 456$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 59c | 453.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Lynx | 57c | 412.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Fever | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fever | 71c | 375.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fever | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…2d4dbacked Lynx | 39c | 349.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Lynx | 55c | 349.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever | 71c | 264.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Fever | 41c | 250$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lynx | 14c | 206.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fever | 42c | 192.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Fever | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 57c | 176.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lynx | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Lynx | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Lynx | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Lynx | 26c | 160.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 57c | 158.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Lynx | 58c | 153.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever | 42c | 140.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Fever | 45c | 132.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Fever | 40c | 105.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lynx | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Fever | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Lynx | 60c | 98.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fever | 42c | 96.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Fever | 44c | 93.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Lynx | 55c | 90.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lynx | 39c | 90.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lynx | 58c | 90.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Fever | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Fever | 44c | 87.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…b61cbacked Lynx | 60c | 79.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…74ccbacked Fever | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Fever | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Lynx | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Lynx | 55c | 48.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 37c | 48.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Lynx | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Lynx | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 58c | 41.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Fever | 45c | 40.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Fever | 74c | 39.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Fever | 79c | 37.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 42c | 37.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Fever | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Lynx | 55c | 29.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Fever | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.