MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x138e8bf25bc392d4c3e0d8eedc2ee24b0978afda0904940353fe74b8cafa2cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,017,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,004,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,017,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox | 38c | 636,885$242,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,016.38 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 62c | 250,000$155,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Padres | 62c | 105,450$65,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,071 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 62c | 83,114$51,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,924.28 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 62c | 76,426$47,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,046.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Padres | 66c | 70,419$46,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,150.58 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 62c | 41,475$25,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,760.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 37c | 40,180$14,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,691.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 36c | 35,426$12,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,682.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 39c | 29,874$11,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,651 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 36c | 21,745$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.33 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 62c | 19,447$12,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.92 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 62c | 11,473$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.38 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Padres | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.97 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 42c | 7,944$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox | 42c | 7,236$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.61 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 44c | 6,609$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.2 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 58c | 6,086$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 49c | 5,949$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.66 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 69c | 5,143$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Padres | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed White Sox | 44c | 4,465$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 57c | 4,052$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 2,047$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Padres | 63c | 2,028$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.44 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 40c | 1,933$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 30c | 1,741$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 59c | 1,571$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.16 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed White Sox | 39c | 1,554$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 32c | 1,450$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,259$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 41c | 1,191$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 39c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.66 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed White Sox | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 69c | 998.42$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.82 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 39c | 864.76$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Padres | 63c | 792.49$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Padres | 46c | 750$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 45c | 718.25$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 41c | 712.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 38c | 660$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 38c | 560.91$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 59c | 558.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 62c | 525$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 60c | 519$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox | 38c | 518$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Padres | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 61c | 434.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed White Sox | 38c | 429$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Padres | 47c | 421.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed White Sox | 38c | 407$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…758cbacked White Sox | 40c | 377.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Padres | 61c | 377.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Padres | 58c | 343.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 62c | 325$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Padres | 63c | 310.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Padres | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 39c | 288.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 38c | 280.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 61c | 221.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Padres | 44c | 203.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 62c | 202.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed White Sox | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Padres | 65c | 181.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 43c | 167.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Padres | 61c | 167$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Padres | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 67c | 156.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked White Sox | 40c | 152.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 46c | 140.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…a119backed Padres | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Padres | 55c | 109.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed White Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Padres | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed White Sox | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Padres | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked White Sox | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked Padres | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed White Sox | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked White Sox | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Padres | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked White Sox | 38c | 65.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. White Soxthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.