TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Storm vs Aces

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Storm, Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Storm29c8,918$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm29c8,111$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.6321440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Aces80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Aces53c2,493$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.793842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Storm1c2,189$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Storm30c2,115$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Aces51c2,050$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.523931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces52c1,588$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.367855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ef…5d6bbacked Storm49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Storm24c1,425$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.387327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Aces62c1,417$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.555154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c92…1897backed Aces51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21aa…515fbacked Aces51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5882100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Aces52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8512045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4804…a3bcbacked Storm49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Aces51c1,100$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.994551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Storm47c1,098$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Aces51c1,093$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Storm49c1,093$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Aces50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Storm47c790.11$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.247440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Storm41c776.52$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.123938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm47c750.07$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5314450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Storm32c623.69$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Storm49c607.27$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.568633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…c03bbacked Storm49c602$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8156…6b4dbacked Aces51c595$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces66c585.42$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8131847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75df…0ee9backed Aces51c585$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c66cbacked Storm49c578$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Aces70c540$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Aces62c527.29$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0823234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Aces51c526.8$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.023246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73e…9e1bbacked Storm33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Aces51c500$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.672055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Aces52c363.46$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.463138.7%12 W · 19 L-8.3wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Storm50c352$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.766637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Aces52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14412840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Storm49c299.69$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1321337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Aces53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Aces58c242$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.478837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Storm14c232.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.568920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Aces80c230$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Aces59c218.64$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.642646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…2a64backed Storm8c213.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Storm49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Storm49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Aces52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Aces53c189.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Aces77c169.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.132568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Aces51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Storm10c161.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…411cbacked Aces65c153.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Storm37c138.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Storm49c134.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.74358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Storm49c124.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.915939%23 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm48c124$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.526850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Storm47c105.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8211552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Storm49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Storm29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6620642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Aces64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Storm21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Storm38c95.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1312548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…0caabacked Aces59c95.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Aces77c91.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Storm21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Aces51c68.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.412737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Aces53c68.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.043961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.246560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Aces51c61.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.134042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Aces67c59.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.816460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Storm48c56.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.362254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Aces59c49.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Aces80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…44b0backed Aces53c37.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Aces75c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.885147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Aces50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.514136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1319…db4ebacked Aces52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Storm50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd24…b40fbacked Aces77c25.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…a569backed Aces60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…7dedbacked Storm50c24.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Aces52c23.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3e…38b5backed Storm50c23.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6755…8972backed Storm49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Aces80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeceb…19f2backed Storm50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…78aebacked Aces78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.