Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Holt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc8a39361c0cb811c46beca5fc92dba875361de90abff10506c9d8e322cce57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Holt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Holt | 27c | 6,430$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.2 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Borges | 73c | 5,186$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.95 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Holt | 28c | 1,822$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.29 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Holt | 28c | 1,651$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.16 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Holt | 44c | 1,611$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.13 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Holt | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Borges | 72c | 1,420$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Borges | 68c | 954$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Borges | 67c | 948.14$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Borges | 74c | 633$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Holt | 29c | 503$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Holt | 15c | 385.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Holt | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Borges | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Borges | 69c | 323.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Holt | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Holt | 35c | 315.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Holt | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 68c | 296$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Holt | 30c | 281.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Borges | 70c | 281.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Borges | 46c | 242.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Borges | 48c | 210.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Borges | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Borges | 46c | 175$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Borges | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Borges | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Borges | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Borges | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Borges | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Borges | 71c | 133.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Borges | 46c | 119.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Borges | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Borges | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Holt | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Borges | 46c | 80.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Borges | 71c | 69.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…1f6cbacked Borges | 71c | 56.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Borges | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Borges | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Borges | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Borges | 73c | 48.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Borges | 71c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…0acabacked Borges | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Borges | 51c | 23.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.