TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Marlins vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Marlins, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins63c76,040$47,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,296.811,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies37c40,685$15,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,093.981,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies42c35,406$14,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,870.5263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies35c21,663$7,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,537.4678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Marlins66c19,449$12,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,689.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies41c18,543$7,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,676.062,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies42c14,165$5,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,900.889,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies41c12,416$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.5630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies41c10,000$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.9434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins61c7,797$4,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.6754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies41c6,561$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.0644456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Marlins56c6,195$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.1113045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies40c5,112$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.811,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Rockies40c5,019$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.593250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Marlins58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins46c4,867$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.2920747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marlins56c4,124$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.1112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Marlins59c3,920$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.2837857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Marlins61c3,644$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.6424154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rockies52c3,622$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.533554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Marlins60c3,506$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies42c3,498$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies42c3,333$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.861,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Marlins42c3,200$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84810940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Marlins68c2,942$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.9131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies40c2,864$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.3573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies38c2,814$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.1933137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies3c2,497$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.871,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Marlins61c2,438$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.382846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Rockies47c2,238$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.271861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins58c2,184$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.171,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marlins69c2,142$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2947745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Marlins60c2,000$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.818562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins71c1,976$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.1995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies41c1,950$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies45c1,867$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.7154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Marlins50c1,792$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.679349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies2c1,593$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.198762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Marlins59c1,572$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2412450%62 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies43c1,416$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.971,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f25…8ca8backed Marlins75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies41c1,297$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.231,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rockies41c1,102$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5815033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies39c1,077$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockies58c1,076$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.526,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins59c1,029$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8951953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Marlins38c1,026$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.329757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed Marlins57c1,009$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.67988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+88%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies40c1,001$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Rockies5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins60c999.89$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Rockies42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.271,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Marlins59c806.78$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9312558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies47c779.33$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed1f…afd7backed Marlins67c750.81$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.433562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies40c685.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.412436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Rockies18c670.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.173020%6 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Marlins60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6717045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockies41c600$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Marlins60c600$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Marlins59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24640152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies40c573$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins66c549.66$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies40c517.78$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Marlins37c479.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30411141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies27c420.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11539739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Marlins59c399.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Rockies55c382$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.761428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Marlins57c377.4$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2825954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Marlins79c342.29$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies38c332.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marlins59c330$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.327751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Marlins59c322.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0325548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Marlins58c319.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.394761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Marlins52c318.19$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12666751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x284e…c695backed Marlins59c291.56$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Rockies62c287.46$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1788454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rockies39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1961…ed4fbacked Marlins39c256.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rockies40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rockies26c242.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Marlins42c239.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.721,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Marlins59c238.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.686544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Rockies42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Marlins59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Marlins59c233.9$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x791c…7910backed Marlins53c228.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.321947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Rockies28c216.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…9089backed Rockies7c213.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9023…54bbbacked Marlins59c205.08$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.083271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Marlins49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Marlins59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.399357%53 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0a…ada0backed Rockies27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Marlins41c197.34$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.