MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9308e87c6afb5e2518d29a0f74f782b6470c74b9d3847fb056fb4c9c19d1654f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,340,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,363,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 38c | 1,212,989$455,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455,990.12 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 62c | 325,800$202,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,444.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 62c | 150,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,000 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 62c | 147,050$91,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,337 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 63c | 130,000$81,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,299.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees | 62c | 125,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 63c | 64,032$40,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,932.01 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 63c | 50,632$31,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,733.81 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 63c | 48,000$30,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,760 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 63c | 35,000$21,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,025 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 63c | 30,570$19,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,310.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 63c | 22,675$14,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,489.75 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 63c | 21,525$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.34 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yankees | 62c | 19,000$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 62c | 18,500$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,955 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 63c | 17,500$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 63c | 14,413$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles | 38c | 6,061$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.15 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 63c | 5,605$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 64c | 4,218$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 63c | 3,016$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yankees | 64c | 2,797$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 64c | 2,575$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.59 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 8c | 2,544$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yankees | 63c | 2,092$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Orioles | 6c | 1,792$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Orioles | 35c | 1,744$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 61c | 1,715$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.71 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,510$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 1c | 1,482$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 35c | 1,389$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.31 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.84 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yankees | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yankees | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Yankees | 66c | 761.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 63c | 607$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Yankees | 64c | 596.88$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…c617backed Orioles | 37c | 596.73$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Orioles | 12c | 595$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees | 64c | 576.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yankees | 64c | 566.5$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 35c | 560.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 7c | 549.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yankees | 64c | 546.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 64c | 480$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yankees | 63c | 476$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yankees | 68c | 470.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 63c | 440$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 73c | 414.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Yankees | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 15c | 382.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Orioles | 35c | 357.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 37c | 303.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 63c | 279.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yankees | 63c | 275$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked Orioles | 37c | 270.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Yankees | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yankees | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…822cbacked Yankees | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 63c | 218$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yankees | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…ddd7backed Yankees | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yankees | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 36c | 177$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Yankees | 64c | 155.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…8d8ebacked Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 32c | 126.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Yankees | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Orioles | 38c | 113.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Yankees | 65c | 104$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Yankees | 65c | 100.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fd…e674backed Yankees | 65c | 96.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Yankees | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Yankees | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Oriolesthis page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.