TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Orioles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,340,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,363,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles38c1,212,989$455,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455,990.1238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees62c325,800$202,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,444.231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees62c150,000$93,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,0009462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yankees62c147,050$91,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,33711759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees63c130,000$81,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,299.9955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees62c125,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees63c64,032$40,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,932.0148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees63c50,632$31,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,733.8113246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees63c48,000$30,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,76044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yankees63c35,000$21,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0257363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees63c30,570$19,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,310.841,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees63c22,675$14,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,489.7530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees63c21,525$13,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.3443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Yankees62c19,000$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2208861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees62c18,500$11,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9551,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees63c17,500$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,55056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees63c14,413$9,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.91,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yankees63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles38c6,061$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.159135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees63c6,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees63c5,605$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.92,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees64c4,218$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.631,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees63c3,016$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.0873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd666…a3fbbacked Yankees64c2,797$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees64c2,575$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles8c2,544$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.282,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Yankees65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.699349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yankees63c2,092$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yankees63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Orioles6c1,792$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9813242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed Orioles35c1,744$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.391747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yankees61c1,715$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees63c1,510$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.881,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles1c1,482$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.828762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles35c1,389$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3126949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees64c1,094$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8419452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yankees63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2523060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yankees64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2563052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees64c781$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.161,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Yankees65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…d24bbacked Yankees66c761.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.231478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+37.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3817045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees63c607$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.691,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yankees64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Yankees64c596.88$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.885756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b0…c617backed Orioles37c596.73$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Orioles12c595$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees64c576.56$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5621853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yankees64c566.5$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9414055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles35c560.89$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Orioles36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Orioles7c549.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Yankees64c546.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.653351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees64c480$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yankees63c476$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1211838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yankees68c470.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0813249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees63c440$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.85950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Yankees73c414.28$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3421847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Yankees64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6321242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles15c382.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.411,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Orioles35c357.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.224040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yankees64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6934264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Orioles37c303.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.331,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees63c279.11$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Yankees63c275$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.755947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Orioles37c270.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ba…d03cbacked Yankees64c270$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Yankees64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.382,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yankees64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3814150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x155c…822cbacked Yankees65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yankees63c218$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.661,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f4…5781backed Yankees65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0d…ddd7backed Yankees64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yankees64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles36c177$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.722,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yankees64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…462bbacked Yankees64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08d1…7ddabacked Yankees64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254839.6%19 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Yankees64c155.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7340144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5284…27f5backed Yankees65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510352.4%54 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d88…8d8ebacked Yankees65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles32c126.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…1ff7backed Yankees64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c5…bf7abacked Orioles38c113.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4319242.2%81 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f38…6720backed Yankees65c104$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe892…8cfbbacked Yankees65c100.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.054860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fd…e674backed Yankees65c96.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.695052%26 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969b…7f79backed Yankees63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242181%17 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Yankees64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.759863.3%62 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.