MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a62acb64959298835ce893d58d674e28bbb8df94fb2d4cbaf76f9c958d24e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 57c | 53,794$30,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,657.17 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,950 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Astros | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 56c | 6,813$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 42c | 5,837$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers | 58c | 5,421$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.89 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 42c | 5,365$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.65 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rangers | 56c | 4,704$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.99 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 54c | 4,559$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Rangers | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Astros | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 32c | 1,837$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rangers | 55c | 1,322$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.09 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 43c | 1,285$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.44 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 5c | 1,132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Astros | 44c | 1,101$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Rangers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Astros | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 71c | 1,000$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 57c | 923.68$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Rangers | 36c | 841.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rangers | 5c | 831.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 45c | 827$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Rangers | 55c | 794.21$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 18c | 698.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rangers | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Astros | 55c | 605.39$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 9c | 594.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 74c | 537.14$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 43c | 525.01$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 44c | 517.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Astros | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 61c | 425.17$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 46c | 363.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rangers | 46c | 301.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Rangers | 54c | 204.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 41c | 204.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Rangers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 46c | 167$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Rangers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Astros | 43c | 129$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Astros | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 35c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…80a4backed Astros | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Rangers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Astros | 47c | 101.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 18c | 101.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Rangers | 54c | 100.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Astros | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rangers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Astros | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Astros | 45c | 83.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Astros | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Rangers | 54c | 81.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Astros | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…a1c6backed Rangers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Astros | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Rangers | 56c | 61.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Astros | 45c | 61.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed Astros | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 56c | 58.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Astros | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Astros | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Rangers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Astros | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Astros | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…05e3backed Rangers | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Astros | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Astros | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Astros | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Astros | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Astros | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Astros | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Rangers | 35c | 43.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Astrosthis page
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.