Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a9c95c4fd9f39d778003e5dd87ca90757b97efa82cfe96c7a75ced3c48ff43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Khachanov, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Khachanov | 77c | 23,543$18,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350.53 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Ruud | 46c | 10,343$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.45 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Ruud | 26c | 5,863$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.35 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ruud | 24c | 3,703$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.24 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Khachanov | 54c | 3,096$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.03 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Khachanov | 55c | 2,922$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Ruud | 44c | 2,300$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Ruud | 47c | 2,293$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.48 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Khachanov | 58c | 2,171$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.33 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Khachanov | 54c | 2,000$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.77 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud | 26c | 1,910$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Khachanov | 57c | 1,900$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Ruud | 46c | 1,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Ruud | 24c | 1,058$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ruud | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Ruud | 26c | 948.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Ruud | 26c | 925$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Khachanov | 55c | 872.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Khachanov | 56c | 729.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.14 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Ruud | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Khachanov | 62c | 355.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Khachanov | 58c | 324.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Ruud | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ruud | 43c | 283.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Ruud | 48c | 257.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Ruud | 29c | 233.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ruud | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Ruud | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ruud | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ruud | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…42e0backed Ruud | 46c | 215.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Ruud | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Khachanov | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ruud | 43c | 181$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ruud | 45c | 178.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Khachanov | 56c | 171.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…84b6backed Khachanov | 58c | 136.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Ruud | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Ruud | 43c | 99.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Ruud | 43c | 90.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Ruud | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Khachanov | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Khachanov | 54c | 77.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6be0backed Ruud | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Ruud | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Ruud | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Khachanov | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…14fcbacked Khachanov | 56c | 56.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Ruud | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Ruud | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Ruud | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Ruud | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Ruud | 38c | 42.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Khachanov | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Ruud | 42c | 35.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Ruud | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…1ebdbacked Khachanov | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Khachanov | 56c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.