NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb549ada746e7e1f32d33d3bcb7f4c38130fae33a27fd01d39d5d88fa155524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Bears, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $568,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Lions | 76c | 80,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bears | 31c | 48,034$15,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,070.06 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda27…06bcbacked Bears | 28c | 40,477$11,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,346.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lions | 72c | 34,155$24,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,563.34 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bears | 29c | 30,511$8,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.61 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bears | 12c | 29,479$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.1 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bears | 28c | 26,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bears | 29c | 25,512$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.62 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 72c | 23,499$16,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.47 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Bears | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Bears | 21c | 19,874$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.42 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lions | 72c | 17,339$12,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.78 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lions | 71c | 16,269$11,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bears | 28c | 15,222$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.17 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Lions | 72c | 13,833$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.96 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 28c | 12,352$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.17 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Lions | 73c | 11,746$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.78 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bears | 27c | 11,461$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.47 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bears | 28c | 10,651$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.85 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Lions | 73c | 10,252$7,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Bears | 27c | 9,000$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Lions | 71c | 7,224$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.92 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bears | 8c | 6,102$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Bears | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Lions | 72c | 5,272$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.94 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…8fe3backed Bears | 29c | 5,024$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Bears | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bears | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bears | 27c | 4,710$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.78 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Bears | 8c | 4,688$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bears | 23c | 4,307$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Bears | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bears | 27c | 3,888$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.17 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Bears | 16c | 3,786$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 72c | 3,600$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Lions | 74c | 3,098$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 63c | 3,044$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.95 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Bears | 19c | 3,041$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.55 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Lions | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lions | 73c | 3,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lions | 72c | 3,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bears | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lions | 71c | 2,856$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.26 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lions | 67c | 2,644$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.57 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lions | 80c | 2,600$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 69c | 2,428$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.66 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Lions | 40c | 2,226$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.08 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Bears | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lions | 73c | 2,149$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.23 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 73c | 2,020$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bears | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 72c | 1,966$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.38 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Bears | 13c | 1,788$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Lions | 73c | 1,771$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…916bbacked Bears | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Lions | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lions | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Lions | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 26c | 1,400$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Bears | 27c | 1,394$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.02 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bears | 27c | 1,376$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.65 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…ec7bbacked Lions | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 15c | 1,340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions | 71c | 1,236$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 67c | 1,090$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…9a0dbacked Bears | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Lions | 73c | 999.67$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Bears | 27c | 959.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bears | 28c | 954.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bears | 27c | 920$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Lions | 73c | 810.97$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Bears | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bears | 2c | 697.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Lions | 73c | 684.03$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bears | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Lions | 73c | 578$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Bears | 29c | 551.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lions | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bears | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bears | 32c | 491.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Bears | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Lions | 72c | 433$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Lions | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Lions | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Bears | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bears | 28c | 397.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Bears | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Bears | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lions | 73c | 342.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Bears | 22c | 337.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Bears | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lions | 9c | 312.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Bears | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed Bears | 29c | 294.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Lions | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Lions | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Lions | 72c | 280.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Lions | 71c | 280$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bears vs. Lionsthis page
- Bears vs. Lions: O/U 45.5Over won
- Bears vs. Lions: O/U 46.5Over won
- Bears vs. Lions: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bears vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.