TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa983…46a3backed Giants61c55,398$33,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,79211345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers47c41,604$19,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,050.311,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers44c30,897$13,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,391.771,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants46c14,761$6,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,792.522,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants53c14,000$7,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,42048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Giants52c13,332$6,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,932.549440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants51c9,323$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.0638047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Giants53c9,211$4,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9751,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers51c7,422$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.0538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Dodgers47c6,219$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.293441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Dodgers51c5,000$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4701266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers49c4,429$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.2573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants49c4,078$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.111,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Giants53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants28c3,663$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.51,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers47c3,418$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.5325453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Dodgers48c2,962$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54011947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86cb…6c6dbacked Giants6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers47c2,367$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.122,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers27c2,097$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.5595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers51c2,059$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.8230842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers17c1,928$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ba…e33abacked Giants5c1,830$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers50c1,783$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers63c1,511$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4125551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Giants53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants51c1,364$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants51c1,256$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.471,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers39c1,254$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.381,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers48c1,250$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.931,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Giants49c1,250$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4927254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Giants50c1,202$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants13c1,134$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants47c999.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Dodgers48c993.81$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7814148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers36c889.19$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Giants3c797.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers51c785$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6517045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Giants34c745.97$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.914057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3293,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers44c682.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.451,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Dodgers37c654.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Dodgers40c608.73$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.732176.2%16 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+78.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants64c607.99$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Dodgers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Dodgers48c577$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0416552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Dodgers29c575.95$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers53c549.98$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.241,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants45c534.95$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers52c520.49$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.841,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Dodgers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Dodgers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Giants47c490$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.285238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Dodgers50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2439245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers51c481.36$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.391,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants55c459.02$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Giants31c421.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2720747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Giants5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Dodgers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3626055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Giants53c358$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Dodgers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…3984backed Dodgers37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giants10c309$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Dodgers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15966751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…a809backed Dodgers19c286.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+107.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Giants56c251.04$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa530…1934backed Dodgers56c250.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Giants80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Giants40c239$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.67857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Giants50c234$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Giants57c232.14$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4713740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd4…a9c8backed Giants6c231.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Dodgers48c227.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.083644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers53c211.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670f…3f29backed Dodgers51c206$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8911049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Dodgers25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15050447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dodgers51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers56c196.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5811257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Dodgers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…66ebbacked Dodgers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers52c193.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.062,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Dodgers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dodgers36c180.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3212640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Dodgers26c165.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5657545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dodgers48c162.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.517930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Dodgers51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0640144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Dodgers44c139$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Giants72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007458.1%43 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Dodgers36c137.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.912277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Giants32c130.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.336755.2%37 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03be…5493backed Dodgers51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.