TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Alabama vs. Florida State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Stateof Alabama, Florida State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d3d…35d0backed Alabama48c36,525$17,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,684.182450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Florida State16c32,009$5,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,937.8915539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Florida State61c25,876$15,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,010.536838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama11c14,047$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.6830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Florida State65c10,030$6,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.155100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Florida State63c7,957$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.785954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Alabama13c7,879$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Florida State16c7,338$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,164.0137749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Alabama31c5,919$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.025438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Alabama2c5,418$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.358448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Alabama57c3,966$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.918149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Florida State25c2,915$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.922548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Florida State49c2,900$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.3810851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Alabama53c2,721$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.915356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Alabama17c2,091$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Alabama36c2,037$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.216747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Alabama71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Alabama5c1,740$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Florida State26c1,420$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Florida State16c1,400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.944942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Florida State46c1,391$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.72330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c12…93a7backed Florida State72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Alabama39c1,281$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.52737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Florida State16c1,275$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.246835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama17c1,261$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3586243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Alabama74c1,191$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.7713845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Florida State17c1,188$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.821414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb67…970abacked Florida State18c1,112$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Florida State57c1,065$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.691631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Florida State73c1,005$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Florida State63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida State60c976.4$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6924229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Florida State58c942.85$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8626750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Alabama50c844.16$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida State29c760.62$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.0415252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Florida State14c726.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+82.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ac0…b10abacked Alabama56c715.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Florida State57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.751127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Alabama46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Alabama44c609.29$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.097335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Florida State16c600$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.357123.9%17 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Alabama6c600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.782370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Florida State80c530.05$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.012040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Florida State63c494$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.782157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ea…5590backed Florida State68c462.68$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Alabama69c453.06$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.62416.7%4 W · 20 L-8.5wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Alabama30c451.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama33c445$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Alabama7c444.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.191360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…66f2backed Florida State67c439.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Alabama19c425.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.473151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Alabama50c401.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Alabama10c394.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Alabama40c359.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Florida State61c327.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.286170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Alabama46c317.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Florida State56c300$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Florida State11c300$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2684734%16 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Alabama78c275$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8518338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa805…83dcbacked Florida State41c268.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1810220.6%21 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked Florida State76c263.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.32650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc490…0558backed Florida State77c263.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Alabama23c259.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.732850%14 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7b…6e6dbacked Florida State21c250$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Florida State41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+60.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State45c219.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Alabama38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida State18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1649420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Florida State59c187.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.772454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Alabama55c182.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.213119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9406…9071backed Florida State14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.571127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Alabama42c170.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Florida State70c164.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3614945.6%68 W · 81 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3583…fa7abacked Florida State18c158.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.161752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida State46c153.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a43…2fcebacked Alabama26c148$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…a240backed Florida State29c133.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.67440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Alabama60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x436b…7bb9backed Florida State18c127.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed1d…8707backed Alabama34c123.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea3…0708backed Florida State21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Alabama45c117.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.46262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Florida State18c113$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Florida State17c104.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8718416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Alabama61c102.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.312540%10 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Florida State10c101.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.123759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Florida State17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8313432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df5…7794backed Alabama45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-79.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Florida State40c98.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.351145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…a87cbacked Alabama39c90.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.191250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…7f7fbacked Florida State56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583c…23b5backed Alabama50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Florida State51c87.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8212857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec71…0d6ebacked Alabama54c83.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Florida State17c82.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.844942.9%21 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Florida State78c79.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5230548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Florida State18c77.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.78540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Florida State63c73.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.348347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Florida State77c67.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.272250%11 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Florida State17c63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.296541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.