Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Nuno Borges vs. Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b668a323b2963026f471c250bce7884ff160077bc99708d4c81c7ac90d34d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul of Borges, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Borges | 26c | 16,936$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.44 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paul | 74c | 11,000$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Paul | 75c | 5,800$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.08 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Paul | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Borges | 23c | 3,264$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.24 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Borges | 39c | 2,905$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.05 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Paul | 80c | 2,696$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.76 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Paul | 71c | 2,306$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.71 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Borges | 32c | 2,092$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paul | 73c | 1,985$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.2 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Borges | 15c | 1,941$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Borges | 36c | 1,777$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Borges | 24c | 1,351$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Paul | 72c | 1,346$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Borges | 13c | 950$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Borges | 11c | 913.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Borges | 36c | 880$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paul | 73c | 718.52$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Paul | 69c | 712$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Paul | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Borges | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Paul | 78c | 454.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Paul | 74c | 447.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paul | 75c | 424.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Borges | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Borges | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Paul | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Borges | 27c | 270.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Borges | 13c | 266.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Paul | 77c | 259.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Paul | 64c | 255$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Borges | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Paul | 73c | 195$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Paul | 72c | 175$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paul | 69c | 173.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Borges | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Borges | 38c | 150.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Paul | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paul | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Paul | 76c | 114.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Borges | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Paul | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Paul | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Borges | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Paul | 68c | 87.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Borges | 32c | 80.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Paul | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…28ebbacked Paul | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Borges | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…36abbacked Paul | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Paul | 68c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.