MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44131661215bab5ce3120efca5f7c65c7f521efffaeea451604937bb72f67d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Mariners, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,418,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,439,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,418,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 44c | 1,083,689$478,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605,405.99 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 56c | 838,665$469,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469,296.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Mariners | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners | 51c | 70,175$35,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,778.89 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 56c | 42,000$23,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,520 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 56c | 35,750$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,020 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 55c | 34,098$18,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,436.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 43c | 26,118$11,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,941.89 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Orioles | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 49c | 13,132$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 71c | 10,933$7,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.88 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 49c | 10,846$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.52 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 44c | 10,809$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.27 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Orioles | 48c | 9,963$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.56 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 49c | 8,004$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.6 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 56c | 7,317$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mariners | 50c | 7,126$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.33 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Orioles | 60c | 7,038$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 36c | 6,778$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.85 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mariners | 57c | 6,558$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.02 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Mariners | 57c | 6,488$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 57c | 6,328$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Mariners | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 49c | 4,839$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.11 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 56c | 4,754$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.13 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 51c | 4,513$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.78 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 57c | 4,256$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 45c | 3,980$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 43c | 3,684$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.79 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 61c | 3,530$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Orioles | 67c | 3,361$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.92 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mariners | 50c | 3,357$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.44 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 57c | 3,070$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Orioles | 75c | 2,749$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.11 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Mariners | 57c | 2,734$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Orioles | 43c | 2,434$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.25 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 43c | 2,348$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.33 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 56c | 2,100$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.41 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,928$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 57c | 1,849$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mariners | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Mariners | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Orioles | 59c | 1,376$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.93 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Orioles | 44c | 1,343$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.03 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 54c | 1,135$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.78 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,120$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 56c | 1,066$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Mariners | 56c | 981.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Mariners | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 57c | 886.55$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.19 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Orioles | 78c | 861.51$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 59c | 808.64$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.64 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 43c | 781$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 36c | 700.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 38c | 700$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 51c | 522.19$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 55c | 520$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Mariners | 57c | 516.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Orioles | 43c | 495.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Mariners | 52c | 480.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 43c | 464.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Orioles | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 9c | 438.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 42c | 416.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 11c | 403.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Mariners | 53c | 378.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mariners | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 45c | 355.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 59c | 316.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mariners | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mariners | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Mariners | 55c | 293.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 44c | 292.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 77c | 277$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 38c | 255.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Orioles | 61c | 253.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mariners | 50c | 250.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Orioles | 50c | 247.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.