Earnings · resolved market
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc9ed14f290660be9a45f73f2de8feb2b71a864df7ea2d858c456a194353ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked No | 15c | 2,150$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 17c | 2,054$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 19c | 999.45$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…ba7abacked No | 15c | 850.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…675abacked No | 19c | 819.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 76c | 807.17$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed No | 16c | 780.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 15c | 771.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…c5d9backed No | 12c | 731.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 699.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 630.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…c20cbacked No | 24c | 613.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 11c | 535.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 14c | 458.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…e375backed No | 16c | 422.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 17c | 299.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 30c | 257.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 30c | 248.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 23c | 246.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 64c | 243.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 21c | 242$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…0893backed No | 17c | 231.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 226.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Yes | 67c | 226$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 222.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 19c | 210.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…1d16backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…901abacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 68c | 181.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…893abacked Yes | 61c | 177.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 174.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…61a7backed No | 14c | 169.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 18c | 169.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…599fbacked Yes | 78c | 169.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 59c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…dc93backed Yes | 61c | 164.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked No | 24c | 164.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 13c | 158.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked No | 32c | 156.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…5fa0backed Yes | 53c | 150.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed No | 20c | 147.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…4d38backed No | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 15c | 133.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…8072backed Yes | 75c | 133.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…2012backed No | 15c | 129.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…3b2fbacked Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 77c | 119.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 42c | 109.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 80c | 103.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…747cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…87bcbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 19c | 99.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…f52cbacked No | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…7d7fbacked No | 25c | 80.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 80c | 80.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 78.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked No | 15c | 77.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…39a8backed No | 16c | 76.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…e128backed No | 21c | 70.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 39c | 64.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes | 60c | 63.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…7508backed No | 24c | 62.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4ff9backed No | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 22c | 54.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 39c | 50.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…df70backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…8fd1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -94%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…d9b4backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 39c | 49.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…fcc2backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 78c | 44.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…805cbacked Yes | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2873backed No | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…da34backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…6758backed Yes | 73c | 34.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…f290backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 31.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…3cd3backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…f9a4backed Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 38c | 26.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…a2f9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…fb31backed Yes | 79c | 21.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…0cacbacked Yes | 73c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 53c | 19.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…7382backed Yes | 76c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…247cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.