Earnings · resolved market
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ab0cf9372c095f7cd2cdda91a2e717a32315082f2da913a51346043f36fdcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 13,169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 21c | 9,351$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 73c | 3,830$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.84 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 80c | 2,200$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 10c | 1,344$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 22c | 700$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 76c | 631.12$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…1b43backed No | 22c | 449.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 74c | 374.65$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 16c | 252.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 16c | 207.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…8f06backed Yes | 72c | 162.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 76c | 159.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 19c | 147.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 15c | 139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 74c | 134.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed No | 14c | 132.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…6cddbacked Yes | 75c | 132.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 75c | 129.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 18c | 126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 28c | 125.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 76c | 113.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 17c | 106.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…041fbacked No | 19c | 105.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…6fb8backed No | 31c | 95.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 33c | 89.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed No | 23c | 85.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed No | 22c | 72.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked No | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…0d49backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…3cd6backed No | 27c | 41.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 31c | 32.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…bcccbacked Yes | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.