Earnings · resolved market
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce35cacfb5cf65a484ea5b5469d50e4466654452d4cc6d273405d8142a18fed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 3c | 5,026$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 52c | 1,153$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 50c | 1,149$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.94 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 53c | 709.55$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 44c | 695.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…4143backed No | 50c | 526.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +265.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 58c | 485.9$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 399.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 55c | 323.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 47c | 292.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…c8ebbacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 44c | 185.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 162$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…8a85backed No | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked No | 72c | 152.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…adbdbacked No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…1b21backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…681dbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…65e8backed Yes | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 49c | 117$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…58f5backed No | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 112.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…8846backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 46c | 108.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b41…0094backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 62c | 101.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…cc34backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 47c | 97.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…dd78backed No | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…5bf9backed No | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…a1f8backed No | 52c | 76.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed No | 42c | 74.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 45c | 73.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 52c | 72.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…4212backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 51c | 68.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…52b0backed No | 45c | 66.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 48c | 64.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 64c | 62.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…a837backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 55c | 57.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…3658backed No | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5507…813abacked Yes | 46c | 51.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…01e2backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…a325backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 46c | 47.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 45.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed Yes | 64c | 43.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed No | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…5334backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 66c | 39.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…7dc0backed Yes | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2bffbacked Yes | 52c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes | 51c | 30.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…2e23backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…8fd1backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -94%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed No | 41c | 27.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 63c | 24.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…6717backed Yes | 65c | 18.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.