Earnings · resolved market
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x289fe9339e7d3e69c36fc9d13940cbb97d25d5f50d0bf6da08fecd7575d6f569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 15c | 2,182$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 13c | 1,848$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.76 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 14c | 699.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 29c | 649.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 14c | 542.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…15bbbacked No | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 426.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 59c | 420.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 11c | 304.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…ba7abacked No | 17c | 220.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 13c | 175.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 79c | 158.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 18c | 139.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 44c | 138.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 131.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…87bcbacked No | 15c | 129.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…3fa4backed No | 27c | 119.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 42c | 117.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 74c | 107.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 77c | 103.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 54c | 102.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed No | 15c | 100.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 19c | 57.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 51.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…464cbacked No | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc9…c89bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 23c | 44.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 79c | 30.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…84e3backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…c4b7backed Yes | 80c | 28.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…9d93backed Yes | 80c | 26.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223d…9413backed Yes | 80c | 26.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…9603backed Yes | 80c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…9fb5backed Yes | 80c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…c607backed Yes | 80c | 23.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…8108backed Yes | 80c | 22.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…66bcbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…3b2fbacked Yes | 71c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f97cbacked Yes | 79c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…fac5backed Yes | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…98e6backed Yes | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…cad7backed Yes | 74c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 79c | 14.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…e6c6backed Yes | 79c | 12.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.