Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4b52a6bcbea0b9a388b4c927e2473acc515f974d62ac8e40c577e009329190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 1c | 63,882$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.41 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…b0d4backed No | 3c | 35,608$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed No | 1c | 10,509$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 62c | 5,055$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.17 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,873$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 4,204$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 1c | 4,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…340dbacked No | 3c | 3,548$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…6130backed No | 3c | 3,425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +279.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 2,917$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed No | 3c | 2,448$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 3c | 2,410$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 2,244$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…20e3backed Yes | 11c | 2,023$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +339.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…6dd7backed No | 4c | 1,975$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 2c | 1,800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…4644backed No | 2c | 1,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked No | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…6a01backed No | 2c | 1,452$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…48f5backed No | 3c | 1,450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 45c | 1,420$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 5c | 1,300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 3c | 1,245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…a209backed No | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed No | 3c | 1,034$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…487dbacked No | 1c | 963.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 20c | 892.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 32c | 891.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…a303backed No | 2c | 798.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 2c | 794.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 64c | 781.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed No | 4c | 761.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…b0d4backed No | 3c | 733.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…850fbacked No | 6c | 726.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed No | 2c | 632.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…a5d3backed Yes | 7c | 624.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…865dbacked No | 3c | 547.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 2c | 499$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…0370backed No | 4c | 473.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…0044backed No | 4c | 432.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 55c | 415.49$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 23c | 412.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb168…86c6backed Yes | 8c | 402.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb310…4f27backed No | 4c | 399.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 45c | 377.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…adcabacked No | 4c | 361.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 43c | 352.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…1ff9backed Yes | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 44c | 321.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…6bf5backed No | 3c | 315.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…a8e2backed No | 4c | 297.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 7c | 285.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed Yes | 14c | 276.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked No | 22c | 267.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 8c | 264.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…7c4cbacked Yes | 8c | 247.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +355.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 9c | 233.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 32c | 219.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 38c | 213.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…2759backed Yes | 27c | 212.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…be14backed Yes | 7c | 192.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,383.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked Yes | 9c | 159.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…8211backed Yes | 26c | 143.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…a45ebacked No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 26c | 113.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 39c | 112.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Yes | 40c | 102.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…b67bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…da14backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…1ddfbacked Yes | 42c | 94.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…680ebacked Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…dd88backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…3242backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 32c | 83.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +259.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 79.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 40c | 75.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd4…e5e0backed Yes | 44c | 70.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…e517backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed Yes | 53c | 52.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 33c | 49.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 55c | 47.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a0…96c7backed No | 64c | 46.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3253…4412backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…af35backed Yes | 59c | 31.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.