Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x725ca6c18f947061a1ce073452bcc10ea309c310ddfb30d8cff14032ab8c0b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,791$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.84 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…7d0abacked Yes | 30c | 840.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 38c | 699.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.37 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 36c | 685$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.68 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 68c | 637.82$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 566.13$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 20c | 545.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 68c | 519.17$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 43c | 420$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 29c | 378.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 68c | 367.52$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 57c | 356.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed Yes | 59c | 340.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed No | 56c | 339.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed No | 46c | 317.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Yes | 74c | 310.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…08dbbacked No | 24c | 308.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 49c | 306.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…5d4abacked Yes | 66c | 301.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…0db6backed Yes | 15c | 276$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…dbb1backed No | 63c | 249$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 47c | 238.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 21c | 230$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 30c | 201.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 39c | 191.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 66c | 189.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 188.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed No | 63c | 188.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…e71ebacked No | 69c | 168.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 33c | 167.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 69c | 137$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed Yes | 39c | 129.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked Yes | 66c | 101.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af3…fbe5backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe317…7252backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…33bcbacked Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…f627backed Yes | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 73c | 96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 32c | 86.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…8604backed Yes | 58c | 85.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…48a5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 82.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed No | 79c | 82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…ea89backed No | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 80c | 74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 42cpaid | -88%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 73.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…9263backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…979fbacked No | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…0c71backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…dec8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…93d3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…f7c6backed No | 36c | 47.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 40.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…02adbacked No | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 60c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…b7eabacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…4557backed Yes | 79c | 25.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…14b0backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…9c54backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…6d71backed Yes | 68c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…a843backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $250–265 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $265–280 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $280–295 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295–310 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325–340 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355–370 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $370–385 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$400 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.