Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325–340 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e09cd1301cc863e5eacc8423e1879a53effe0422efb62acc598b87fbd1f7a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 22c | 3,057$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…a874backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 18c | 1,287$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…7d0abacked Yes | 28c | 899.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 12c | 730$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…86f7backed Yes | 8c | 620.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 511.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 79c | 501.18$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 9c | 444.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 15c | 410.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 76c | 360.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…0db6backed Yes | 20c | 276$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 23c | 262.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 20c | 221$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 75c | 210.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…3551backed Yes | 21c | 201.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 7c | 196.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…aa21backed Yes | 29c | 194.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…ac40backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…743cbacked Yes | 11c | 133.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…a0d7backed Yes | 8c | 129.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…dec8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…4f52backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…32f3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…2eebbacked Yes | 24c | 93.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…0056backed Yes | 13c | 85.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…9345backed Yes | 21c | 79.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked Yes | 14c | 76.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…2af0backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 74.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…9263backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 59.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0b6bbacked Yes | 25c | 59.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 52.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…0c71backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 49.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 76c | 34.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 70c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b7b4backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325–340 in 2025?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $250–265 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $265–280 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $280–295 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295–310 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355–370 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at $370–385 in 2025?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$400 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.