Earnings · resolved market
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b62804bdbaba6bb1bf0f9e7ce596084f22ec633e00a8083262f417d690a6713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 59c | 1,518$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…52f9backed Yes | 51c | 937.29$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 48c | 925.17$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.08 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 50c | 700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…212dbacked Yes | 66c | 674.58$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 51c | 630.26$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 48c | 623.37$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 40c | 445.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes | 41c | 428.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 44c | 400$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…39a8backed Yes | 54c | 373.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 49c | 361$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 50c | 354.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 39c | 348.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 35c | 251.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3decbacked Yes | 54c | 230.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 48c | 209.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 25c | 167.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 49c | 140.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…e145backed Yes | 49c | 125.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…06b3backed No | 35c | 119.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 68c | 108.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed No | 35c | 100.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 37c | 100.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda04…793ebacked Yes | 68c | 99.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 45c | 96.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 48c | 92.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…a1f8backed Yes | 43c | 91.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 34c | 87.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 47c | 85.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…8a80backed Yes | 75c | 82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 40c | 77.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 67c | 72.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…464cbacked Yes | 50c | 62.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed No | 49c | 61.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 58.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 58.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 66c | 55.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…8fd1backed Yes | 40c | 50.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -94%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 54c | 48.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked No | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 47c | 43.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…6717backed No | 68c | 38.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…aae7backed Yes | 68c | 32.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 32.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…1b50backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…84e3backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…ea8abacked Yes | 80c | 29.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…f065backed Yes | 68c | 29.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…c502backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed Yes | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…15bbbacked Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…b353backed Yes | 76c | 27.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…9676backed Yes | 72c | 23.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…176abacked Yes | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…7c71backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…0d49backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.