Chess · resolved market

Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9131937353f293dc46435c8c96d1c3bfaa91aa28eda31304347da9026a191a5e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,719,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,712,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,719,835 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Chess
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc97c…f569backed No	0c	167,800$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No	1c	125,505$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf34b…a9e7backed No	0c	116,971$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ebc…dd8abacked No	0c	108,341$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No	0c	108,145$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.77	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ee…224fbacked No	0c	100,202$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cf…1db8backed No	0c	99,995$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc44…ae30backed No	0c	99,995$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…c52abacked No	0c	99,995$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8e…e481backed No	0c	99,992$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed8d…d8fbbacked No	0c	99,203$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed No	0c	98,144$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa643…7546backed No	0c	84,696$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…c6c4backed No	0c	74,996$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed No	2c	57,956$1,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.07	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd3…aeddbacked No	0c	48,120$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d5…3ad3backed No	0c	40,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No	0c	33,894$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed No	0c	28,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-42%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf349…680abacked No	0c	24,884$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked No	0c	24,830$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…2ddabacked No	0c	22,700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No	0c	17,593$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…4e3bbacked No	0c	16,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42dd…48b7backed No	0c	16,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked No	0c	13,333$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…9026backed No	0c	13,059$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.18	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1014…f621backed No	0c	12,560$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked No	0c	11,900$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9816…cc22backed No	0c	11,750$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca7…31a2backed Yes	0c	11,523$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,511.8	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5,506%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed No	0c	11,050$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed No	0c	10,744$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…4ca4backed No	17c	10,453$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed No	0c	10,065$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7487…6f2dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,990	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	0cpaid	+99,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5a…917ebacked No	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,990	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+5,582.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86db…39c4backed No	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd8…68b5backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…6433backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,990	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	0cpaid	+99,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da6…388fbacked No	0c	9,800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bd…bae5backed No	0c	9,400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No	0c	8,196$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x106a…c091backed No	0c	7,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+222.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…15d0backed No	0c	5,620$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8957…cc71backed No	0c	5,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed No	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f1…b0c4backed No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No	0c	4,077$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40c…8192backed No	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed No	0c	4,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	80c	3,839$3,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.51	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes	45c	3,796$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,105.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes	47c	3,702$1,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	55c	3,444$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,906.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3035backed No	10c	3,294$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.03	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes	39c	3,145$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.58	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd406…e83abacked Yes	78c	3,120$2,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b67…584fbacked No	0c	2,913$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	38c	2,683$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.98	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes	6c	2,213$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.36	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,910	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	49c	1,808$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.48	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6478…548fbacked Yes	57c	1,708$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.09	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Yes	78c	1,277$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.91	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked No	3c	1,129$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…eb03backed Yes	7c	1,088$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.5	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	40c	1,000$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+149.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Yes	42c	1,000$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa1…1928backed Yes	6c	966.92$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.59	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Yes	30c	700$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes	35c	615.23$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+186.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No	62c	607.37$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.84	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d2c…2436backed Yes	80c	531.57$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes	7c	500$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	9c	463.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.16	76	7.9%6 W · 70 L	-12.3wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	8c	437.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+288.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x739e…00fcbacked Yes	50c	348.07$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.33	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes	43c	330.78$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.54	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d0…2156backed Yes	26c	310.8$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+96%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b3…868cbacked No	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	37c	300$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd69…a2e1backed No	62c	238.67$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.74	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x072c…bd4abacked Yes	45c	222.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38cb…8e1fbacked Yes	27c	200.94$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2467…e1c8backed Yes	9c	198.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+148.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4427…498dbacked Yes	30c	162.43$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.03	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb59f…cd73backed Yes	8c	151$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.92	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985a…e9e4backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+190.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0787…f072backed Yes	35c	144.57$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed No	58c	140$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0a…4c59backed Yes	37c	135.2$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35bb…7021backed Yes	78c	128.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes	64c	104.11$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event