NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c92937a8f73354fabfc4dd8f82b0c89845cfb91075d8f4d8dabd866144cd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 26,276$13,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,602.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 25,666$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,360.72 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…85c4backed Lakers | 50c | 24,400$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Timberwolves | 47c | 17,176$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9b3ebacked Lakers | 49c | 16,213$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,212.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Timberwolves | 11c | 10,230$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.77 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…9e70backed Timberwolves | 52c | 7,857$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 47c | 7,197$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.87 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 76c | 6,638$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Timberwolves | 28c | 6,110$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.62 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,703$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.46 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 19c | 4,206$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.08 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…d7d5backed Lakers | 48c | 4,107$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…386dbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 3,346$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Lakers | 49c | 3,039$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,022$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lakers | 75c | 2,366$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.97 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,319$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.74 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lakers | 68c | 2,248$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.55 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 48c | 2,064$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.26 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,044$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…9629backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,738$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Lakers | 58c | 1,656$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.68 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,361$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.09 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Timberwolves | 7c | 1,282$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Lakers | 50c | 1,196$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,150$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Lakers | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 999.6$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fee…39efbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 976.92$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Lakers | 49c | 975.51$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…080bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 957.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 49c | 930.61$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 848$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Timberwolves | 51c | 735.43$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Lakers | 48c | 733.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…cb11backed Timberwolves | 46c | 700$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b005backed Timberwolves | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 602.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…8d44backed Timberwolves | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 66c | 575.8$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Timberwolves | 18c | 553.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 519.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 50c | 517.67$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Timberwolves | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Timberwolves | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Lakers | 77c | 496.46$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed Timberwolves | 52c | 473.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Lakers | 53c | 470.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed Timberwolves | 9c | 466.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 450.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 446.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Lakers | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Lakers | 77c | 443.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed Timberwolves | 23c | 428.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Lakers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 57c | 390.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Timberwolves | 21c | 388.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…dccfbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 375.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 358.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Lakers | 50c | 356.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Timberwolves | 50c | 350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 340.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…4908backed Lakers | 49c | 322.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…90f5backed Lakers | 50c | 321.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…08cfbacked Lakers | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…be53backed Lakers | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 23c | 318.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…1243backed Timberwolves | 28c | 310.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…1a1ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 304.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 303.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Lakers | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…809ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Timberwolves | 21c | 273$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…d066backed Timberwolves | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Lakers | 77c | 266.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…e1a6backed Lakers | 49c | 265.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Lakers | 57c | 263.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Timberwolves | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Lakers | 48c | 255.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 251.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Lakers | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Timberwolves | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Timberwolves | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Timberwolves | 13c | 247.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…9a2dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 245.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…0410backed Timberwolves | 52c | 230.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Timberwolves | 50c | 226.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.