World Politics · resolved market
Yoon arrested by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1064bf03a0f35936efe8cceb7db5a91c32d4a55a0446e413a72d2f4d2cd53098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 41,339$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.65 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 10c | 22,431$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…fb58backed Yes | 1c | 20,472$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 13,110$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 5c | 12,006$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 9c | 8,389$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 48c | 8,160$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.87 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 26c | 6,845$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.47 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…9c5ebacked No | 47c | 5,144$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 4,994$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 8c | 4,247$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,226$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…a653backed No | 68c | 3,779$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 64c | 3,424$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.79 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 1c | 3,375$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 30c | 3,348$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 60c | 2,689$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 66c | 2,602$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.88 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 33c | 2,550$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 71c | 2,469$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed No | 79c | 2,123$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…77bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,537$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…44f5backed Yes | 30c | 1,315$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 59c | 1,268$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 1c | 1,230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,185$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked No | 75c | 1,161$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…44d5backed Yes | 1c | 1,024$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…835abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 31c | 998.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…f271backed Yes | 2c | 917.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed No | 60c | 915.61$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Yes | 7c | 809.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 2c | 777.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 36c | 751.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad9…8373backed No | 67c | 737.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 10c | 717.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 30c | 673.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 2c | 612.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…b94ebacked No | 73c | 604.94$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 42c | 550$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes | 42c | 517.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…9e9abacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 438.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…d3ecbacked Yes | 15c | 393.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 53c | 343.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes | 12c | 328.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…60acbacked No | 70c | 303.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 64c | 275$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9d…bb71backed Yes | 7c | 273.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…07cebacked No | 77c | 261.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a3d2backed Yes | 29c | 205.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…88c4backed No | 44c | 188.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 37c | 187.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 17c | 171.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…be53backed No | 78c | 163.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…b30abacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed No | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…cb25backed No | 65c | 153.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…3ef4backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…b0f3backed Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 32c | 127.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…3dcbbacked No | 69c | 123.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…5ecdbacked Yes | 33c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea9…e97ebacked Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…87c4backed No | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 58c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…1858backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…aedabacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5459backed No | 72c | 90.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec0…17b2backed Yes | 57c | 87.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…7da5backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 26c | 76.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 68c | 75.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2b46backed No | 53c | 73.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae9…3beebacked No | 69c | 72.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes | 60c | 67.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bc…c783backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…afc5backed Yes | 39c | 51.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…ce42backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…639fbacked No | 69c | 47.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked No | 77c | 45.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 68c | 43.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 31c | 41.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…3bd2backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.