Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c7f836170b1e49c8af988e95be6336c7887b8ee09c6ebc27cae308352b7c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 58c | 17,710$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…c934backed Yes | 1c | 9,397$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 11c | 9,198$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.89 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…3320backed Yes | 6c | 9,016$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 66c | 8,883$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.12 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7c…128cbacked Yes | 35c | 8,571$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 6c | 8,000$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.25 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,382$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…137bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,294$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 5,802$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 78c | 5,250$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.56 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2300…21c8backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 0c | 4,057$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…5653backed Yes | 2c | 3,997$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 3c | 3,916$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…16d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,416$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 47c | 2,850$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 4c | 2,768$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 58c | 2,353$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 2,217$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…0cf9backed Yes | 14c | 2,176$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…c06fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…a04ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,734$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 16c | 1,700$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8572…6331backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…90e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…1b72backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 3c | 1,412$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…c2debacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 41c | 1,112$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,096$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,053$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…9af3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked No | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 4c | 843.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…eb02backed Yes | 4c | 813.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…97a5backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 3c | 667.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 4c | 560$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…3389backed Yes | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…bc30backed Yes | 3c | 490$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Yes | 5c | 441.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 34c | 415.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…996bbacked Yes | 9c | 410.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…38edbacked Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…3622backed Yes | 3c | 396.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 67c | 382$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…e0aabacked Yes | 17c | 349.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…089abacked Yes | 14c | 331.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 38c | 299.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…018dbacked Yes | 5c | 291.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…7be3backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e29…75b6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…fed6backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…ab1dbacked Yes | 43c | 187.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 160.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…118dbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…48fabacked Yes | 67c | 130$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…136bbacked Yes | 11c | 125.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643e…54a8backed Yes | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…c2c7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 76c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…6f19backed Yes | 53c | 87.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…6d6bbacked No | 66c | 81.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e5…9751backed No | 76c | 80.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…e9f8backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…cc81backed No | 65c | 74.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…ae9ebacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…eb66backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 54c | 62.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 27c | 59.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 69c | 56.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…5477backed No | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…6b51backed Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…f4afbacked No | 69c | 37.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…b2cbbacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…aafebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 27-November 2?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 October 27-November 2?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 27-November 2?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 27-November 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.