CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c4029773a7ab9989a00a70f80890672c9bda06f06074f24941d5deaa84a3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed TYLOO | 9c | 18,523$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.26 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 20c | 1,832$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TYLOO | 10c | 1,585$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Vitality | 79c | 1,400$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TYLOO | 20c | 1,221$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TYLOO | 16c | 1,197$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Vitality | 78c | 1,100$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 17c | 1,035$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked TYLOO | 30c | 989.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO | 9c | 917.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality | 75c | 665.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Vitality | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TYLOO | 22c | 476$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO | 18c | 406.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked TYLOO | 32c | 362.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality | 78c | 320.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 76c | 304.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked TYLOO | 21c | 244.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Vitality | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Vitality | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed TYLOO | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 18c | 182.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TYLOO | 11c | 160.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed TYLOO | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Vitality | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…aaadbacked TYLOO | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked Vitality | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed TYLOO | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed TYLOO | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed TYLOO | 16c | 82.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Vitality | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed TYLOO | 20c | 61.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Vitality | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…f6dabacked Vitality | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Vitality | 79c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…007fbacked Vitality | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…e66cbacked Vitality | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.