CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ebd2c071a6b2c36642b5f59445c53f9556592f39012f22991f20b91d7c8099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Under | 68c | 3,599$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 25c | 2,851$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.16 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 30c | 2,571$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.4 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 33c | 1,545$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.54 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 49c | 1,124$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.87 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Under | 80c | 1,070$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 25c | 1,045$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.86 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Under | 76c | 1,020$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 24c | 983.83$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.71 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Over | 15c | 853.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.39 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Under | 70c | 782.86$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…70fcbacked Over | 61c | 689.92$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…938dbacked Over | 32c | 607.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Under | 70c | 586$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Under | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 71c | 301$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 29c | 301$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b9…c0a4backed Under | 74c | 275.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 216.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 71c | 81.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Under | 80c | 77.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…da21backed Under | 74c | 64.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…cb8ebacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 28c | 36.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Under | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…7859backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.