Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e447ac32fca58bdfd734e70447383858e8c88ad33a6f0821c4858c13b7be3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Under | 69c | 1,525$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.25 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 65c | 1,308$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.74 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 50c | 992.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 31c | 916.56$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 35c | 856$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 49c | 721.16$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.42 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 54c | 643.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…78f6backed Over | 65c | 478.19$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 36c | 388.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 51c | 363.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…51ddbacked Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 50c | 233.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 213.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 58c | 180$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 54c | 172.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed Under | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 44c | 150.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…0b64backed Under | 50c | 139.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 54c | 137.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…d638backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 15c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 51c | 90.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Over | 56c | 89.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 50c | 89.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Over | 59c | 85.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 77.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 50c | 74.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…38e5backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 50c | 45.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Over | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…e526backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 34c | 30.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Under | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…495ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…b9d4backed Over | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Over | 37c | 27.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 40c | 26.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Under | 40c | 26.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.