CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de934c5c6128ca0de210b51c928d4338b7289a6a11f1dcc6e6aa91b6eb2dc10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 49,534$25,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,737.28 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 13,979$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,269.17 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 48c | 13,394$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,965.61 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 48c | 8,299$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.74 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 5,036$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.8 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 2,504$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.37 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 1,785$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.42 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 53c | 753.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 48c | 678.46$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Under | 47c | 605.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 317.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Under | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 74c | 195.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 96.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Over | 58c | 87.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 52c | 84.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 34c | 45.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 48c | 40.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Over | 53c | 37.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 52c | 31.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 41c | 27.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4fc1backed Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…091abacked Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 56c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…b852backed Over | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Over | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…0196backed Over | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…4d03backed Over | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…3d33backed Over | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 422 | 74.2%313 W · 109 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Monte won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.