CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20427ef52deb270a1e675f1fcfe1a949b89218ba8796a07c8a3fbd7299c9816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof NRG, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Monte | 57c | 19,345$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,345.25 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 37c | 10,118$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.72 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed NRG | 45c | 7,239$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.23 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Monte | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.23 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed NRG | 39c | 2,900$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NRG | 49c | 2,829$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NRG | 46c | 2,203$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.17 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed NRG | 53c | 2,018$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.36 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 43c | 1,803$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Monte | 57c | 1,568$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.27 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monte | 59c | 1,208$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 43c | 1,166$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.23 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NRG | 29c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Monte | 49c | 808.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed NRG | 51c | 776.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked NRG | 52c | 753.38$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.71 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NRG | 24c | 725$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 50c | 635$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed NRG | 48c | 621$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte | 56c | 554$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Monte | 45c | 528$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 49c | 435.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed NRG | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked NRG | 52c | 388.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Monte | 52c | 386.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 48c | 348$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 60c | 339.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Monte | 50c | 332$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 64c | 311$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…835abacked NRG | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Monte | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed NRG | 7c | 288.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG | 43c | 272.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 42c | 272$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed NRG | 43c | 256.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NRG | 51c | 256.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed NRG | 41c | 236$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte | 62c | 220$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked NRG | 50c | 203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 57c | 186$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Monte | 51c | 153.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Monte | 60c | 125.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NRG | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 49c | 106.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Monte | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Monte | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Monte | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked NRG | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Monte | 77c | 80.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed NRG | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 34c | 61.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed NRG | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Monte | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed NRG | 54c | 54.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NRG | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked NRG | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Monte | 43c | 47.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked NRG | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Monte | 57c | 36.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed NRG | 52c | 33.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9d…ddf8backed Monte | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Monte | 58c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed NRG | 51c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed NRG | 48c | 21.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NRG | 52c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Monte | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Monte | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Monte won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.