CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b503eef38fe324c8606df1524f6317ab5a80f84bb6c7dde0839bf68783e9be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,558 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 46c | 164,000$75,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,439.94 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 54c | 156,146$84,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,827.07 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 18,066$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 54c | 2,348$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.14 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 54c | 1,425$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 54c | 1,217$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.04 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 54c | 1,140$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.48 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 45c | 891$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.95 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 46c | 670.3$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 54c | 654.98$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 39c | 604.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…aed6backed Under | 54c | 442$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 54c | 312.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…7818backed Over | 47c | 278.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 69c | 278.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Under | 77c | 260.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 41c | 229.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…a980backed Under | 69c | 204.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Under | 54c | 128.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 126$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Under | 54c | 117.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Over | 45c | 111.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 56c | 97.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…86d8backed Under | 74c | 88.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 87.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 87.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 47c | 84.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 39c | 83.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Under | 53c | 81.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 47c | 73.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 24c | 71.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 54c | 66.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 33c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…79cdbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 29.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 55c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Under | 54c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Under | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Over | 58c | 18.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.