CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c31099aa9a24eecbd210ce59a2508b0570df9a9f9cbd2da12ae95cc27b763d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Gaimin Gladiators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed NIP | 45c | 3,083$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.66 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Gaimin Gladiators | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 45c | 1,218$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.16 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Gaimin Gladiators | 54c | 1,107$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.57 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed NIP | 45c | 978.38$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.57 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaimin Gladiators | 55c | 958.54$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Gaimin Gladiators | 55c | 957.01$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.36 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NIP | 44c | 641.96$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed NIP | 46c | 587.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed NIP | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Gaimin Gladiators | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Gaimin Gladiators | 56c | 180.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed NIP | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed NIP | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed NIP | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Gaimin Gladiators | 27c | 40.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed NIP | 73c | 40.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed NIP | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 56c | 32.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed NIP | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Gaimin Gladiators | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1NIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.