Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab72529bcaa7acb85e3699260313418b7b9edfffb5eef83218b70791dda0fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Kei Nishikori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc9…5383backed Kei Nishikori | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Kei Nishikori | 51c | 9,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kei Nishikori | 35c | 8,589$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 7,731$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Kei Nishikori | 35c | 5,192$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.21 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 32c | 4,000$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 3,171$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kei Nishikori | 51c | 3,129$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 2,610$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.37 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 2,535$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.92 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Kei Nishikori | 37c | 2,516$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.92 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 2,504$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.41 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kei Nishikori | 44c | 2,192$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.41 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 2,109$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.06 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Kei Nishikori | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kei Nishikori | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 1,792$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.56 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 1,597$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 58c | 1,518$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.12 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,514$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 1,318$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…f991backed Kei Nishikori | 39c | 1,292$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 1,219$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kei Nishikori | 44c | 1,161$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Kei Nishikori | 36c | 1,121$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Kei Nishikori | 55c | 1,098$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 1,065$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.57 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Kei Nishikori | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kei Nishikori | 19c | 908.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…24fabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 886.36$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 883.37$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kei Nishikori | 40c | 881.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 791.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kei Nishikori | 35c | 744.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kei Nishikori | 65c | 687.77$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.05 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 620$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Kei Nishikori | 49c | 609.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 601.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Kei Nishikori | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 572.88$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 518.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 504.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 499.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 488.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Kei Nishikori | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Kei Nishikori | 43c | 470.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 463.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 455.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kei Nishikori | 44c | 432.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 421$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 401.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Kei Nishikori | 39c | 394.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 390$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 386.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kei Nishikori | 53c | 374.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kei Nishikori | 53c | 369.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 344.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kei Nishikori | 22c | 314.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 311.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 305.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 294.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 291.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…a59bbacked Kei Nishikori | 33c | 284.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 52c | 277.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 264.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 261.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 261.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 259.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 258.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 247.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…255ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 221.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 221$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 33c | 220$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 54c | 214.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Kei Nishikori | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 214.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…9beabacked Kei Nishikori | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kei Nishikori | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 192.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Kei Nishikori | 33c | 190.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 190.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 181.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Kei Nishikori | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 171.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Kei Nishikori | 42c | 165.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 161.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Kei Nishikori | 41c | 160.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 160$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…ecbdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 156.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikorithis page
- Kjaer vs. Nishikori: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kjaer vs. Nishikori: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs NishikoriNishikori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.