Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe170eed88b2f0a35ea42dc7afb5735af510cee56059c793bf36147084dce93ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shimabukuroof Shimabukuro, Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tomic | 25c | 2,605$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shimabukuro | 69c | 2,068$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.18 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Tomic | 13c | 1,608$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shimabukuro | 78c | 1,338$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomic | 12c | 1,188$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Tomic | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tomic | 27c | 928.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shimabukuro | 71c | 612.83$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.85 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Shimabukuro | 63c | 553.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Tomic | 35c | 429.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shimabukuro | 65c | 413.49$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Tomic | 37c | 316$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Shimabukuro | 65c | 308$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Tomic | 22c | 299.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tomic | 29c | 143.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Tomic | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Shimabukuro | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Tomic | 31c | 121.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tomic | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Tomic | 28c | 106.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tomic | 37c | 99.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tomic | 25c | 74.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…ec75backed Shimabukuro | 70c | 73.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Shimabukuro | 72c | 72.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tomic | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tomic | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tomic | 25c | 56.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Tomic | 25c | 52.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Shimabukuro | 75c | 47.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…a94abacked Shimabukuro | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…744abacked Tomic | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tomic | 31c | 45.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Tomic | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Tomic | 35c | 41.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tomic | 26c | 40.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Tomic | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shimabukuro | 72c | 31.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Shimabukuro | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Tomic | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Shimabukuro | 58c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Shimabukuro | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Shimabukuro | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Shimabukuro | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed Shimabukuro | 68c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Shimabukuro | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Shimabukuro | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Shimabukuro | 71c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Shimabukuro | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Bernard Tomicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs TomicShimabukuro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.