TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasilia: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Gustavo Heide

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gustavo Heideof Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, Gustavo Heide
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,822 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ac…fd51backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes27c4,163$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12528444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gustavo Heide74c3,906$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.672,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gustavo Heide73c2,360$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.653,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes22c2,239$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes26c1,999$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.435032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Gustavo Heide77c1,900$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43722553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Gustavo Heide66c1,886$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes28c1,657$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.652,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes22c1,596$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.11,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes25c1,499$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.028,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes22c1,334$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gustavo Heide71c1,157$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.114,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c1,150$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.811,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Gustavo Heide79c1,011$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0929654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes17c921.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3451933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes34c900$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gustavo Heide70c786.62$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6153058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gustavo Heide74c774.03$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.336,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64bb…183dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes29c487.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Gustavo Heide73c412.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes21c412.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6116830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b0b5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c389.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.752010%2 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes24c385$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.519938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gustavo Heide69c365$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Gustavo Heide67c328.51$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gustavo Heide74c324.46$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.682,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes26c318.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.091,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes34c314$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.761136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Gustavo Heide80c308$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Gustavo Heide73c299.51$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Gustavo Heide72c289.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9864065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Gustavo Heide69c289.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.622759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Gustavo Heide71c267.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gustavo Heide79c266.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.772,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Gustavo Heide70c236$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.840744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gustavo Heide75c221.64$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes34c220.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+205.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes31c184.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7331643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Gustavo Heide72c183.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3350364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes38c181.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Gustavo Heide79c162.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1843062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Gustavo Heide70c147.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1419653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gustavo Heide75c142.18$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.016,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes25c142.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9914541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Gustavo Heide75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Gustavo Heide69c128$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Gustavo Heide71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes36c108.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes25c100.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Gustavo Heide72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Gustavo Heide70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Gustavo Heide76c99.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0520758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes22c92.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Gustavo Heide67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.557875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Gustavo Heide66c84.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8510967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes27c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6837342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Gustavo Heide66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Gustavo Heide65c74.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.123847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes24c71.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.143,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Gustavo Heide70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2189364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gustavo Heide63c68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes21c66.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c66.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Gustavo Heide75c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7412952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes29c49.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Gustavo Heide74c48.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes30c48.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Gustavo Heide74c47.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.424244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes28c45.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8743042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes42c42.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.691,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide70c41.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.516,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Gustavo Heide70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes26c39.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.038231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Gustavo Heide72c36.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1158067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1518233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes39c30.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.957441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Gustavo Heide66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.227664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Gustavo Heide65c29.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.033348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Gustavo Heide71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6511759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Gustavo Heide70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gustavo Heide69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.582,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.