Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb259cc4810c31c2f5756846268a577bd86c80e738bd4d8b72ee49def973964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Pellegrino, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Pellegrino | 20c | 200,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Etcheverry | 80c | 149,277$119,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,855.35 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pellegrino | 7c | 22,762$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Etcheverry | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Pellegrino | 7c | 3,201$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Pellegrino | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Pellegrino | 7c | 2,800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Etcheverry | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.31 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…eecabacked Pellegrino | 3c | 2,314$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pellegrino | 11c | 1,906$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Etcheverry | 80c | 1,342$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Etcheverry | 80c | 1,254$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pellegrino | 22c | 1,200$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Pellegrino | 10c | 1,180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Etcheverry | 80c | 1,166$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Pellegrino | 20c | 1,125$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Pellegrino | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Etcheverry | 80c | 1,014$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pellegrino | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Etcheverry | 79c | 915.69$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Pellegrino | 26c | 771.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Etcheverry | 80c | 753.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 590 | 65.4%386 W · 204 L | -16.3wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Pellegrino | 19c | 731.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Pellegrino | 20c | 697.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Pellegrino | 20c | 688.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Pellegrino | 9c | 653.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Pellegrino | 10c | 632.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Pellegrino | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Etcheverry | 80c | 486.25$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Pellegrino | 20c | 483$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Pellegrino | 14c | 460.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…48fabacked Etcheverry | 78c | 425$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pellegrino | 19c | 420$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pellegrino | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pellegrino | 11c | 395.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pellegrino | 11c | 385.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Pellegrino | 18c | 372.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…67eabacked Etcheverry | 78c | 362$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Pellegrino | 21c | 341$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pellegrino | 6c | 303.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Pellegrino | 20c | 289.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Pellegrino | 19c | 264.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pellegrino | 12c | 249.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db0…8c60backed Etcheverry | 78c | 229$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Pellegrino | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pellegrino | 7c | 211$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Pellegrino | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Etcheverry | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Pellegrino | 10c | 171.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pellegrino | 7c | 166.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pellegrino | 18c | 161.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Pellegrino | 10c | 157.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Pellegrino | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pellegrino | 16c | 140.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Etcheverry | 80c | 125.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Etcheverry | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pellegrino | 20c | 123$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Etcheverry | 80c | 102.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pellegrino | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,128 | 27.9%315 W · 813 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Pellegrino | 22c | 99.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Pellegrino | 19c | 86.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…f2e0backed Etcheverry | 78c | 82.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Etcheverry | 78c | 82.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pellegrino | 20c | 80.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pellegrino | 18c | 78.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Etcheverry | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Pellegrino | 17c | 62.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pellegrino | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pellegrino | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Etcheverry | 80c | 37.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Etcheverry | 80c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Etcheverry | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas Etcheverrythis page
- Pellegrino vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Pellegrino vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pellegrino vs EtcheverryEtcheverry won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)Etcheverry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.