Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Pellegrino vs Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b649c090b5e6567024e8d2d7a26d8950b35f5601d537a91f5b920d42a255687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Pellegrino, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x959a…2325backed Etcheverry | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Etcheverry | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…cefdbacked Etcheverry | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Etcheverry | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Etcheverry | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…57c6backed Etcheverry | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Etcheverry | 73c | 23.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…f487backed Etcheverry | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Etcheverry | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Etcheverry | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Etcheverry | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Etcheverry | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Etcheverry | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked Etcheverry | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…4cfcbacked Etcheverry | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Etcheverry | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…ad1ebacked Etcheverry | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3c6fbacked Etcheverry | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Etcheverry | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed Etcheverry | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6989backed Etcheverry | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Etcheverry | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Etcheverry | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…4833backed Etcheverry | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Etcheverry | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Pellegrino vs Etcheverrythis page
- Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas EtcheverryEtcheverry won
- Pellegrino vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Pellegrino vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)Etcheverry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.