Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779a1715ff70cf054d4c5a680b1d28828a5066f3f57a5fcf1cbd093fd0e632ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,180$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,172$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,064$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…3c46backed Yes | 15c | 741.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 7c | 698.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 662.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 491$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Yes | 22c | 358.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 354.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…6494backed No | 75c | 320.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 315$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 33c | 292.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 15c | 280.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…af3ebacked Yes | 63c | 263$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 259.38$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 241.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 20c | 204.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 49c | 202.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 201.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 6c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 192.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 167.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 36c | 163.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 18c | 153.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 149.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 66c | 147$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 67c | 146$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 35c | 142.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 30c | 139$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…56e8backed Yes | 36c | 138.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 17c | 136.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed Yes | 35c | 122.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 11c | 118.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed No | 66c | 112.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 111.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 33c | 105.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 17c | 104.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 65c | 104.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 101.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 29c | 100.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 99.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 99.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 68c | 96.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 67c | 96.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 55c | 81.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 36c | 80.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 79.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 75.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 37c | 74.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 35c | 66.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 31c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 64c | 64.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 52c | 62.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 60.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc672…a817backed Yes | 40c | 57.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 54c | 57.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 65c | 55.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 52.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 26c | 47.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…6884backed No | 67c | 46.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 46.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked No | 65c | 46.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 66c | 44.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 32c | 44.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 36c | 44.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 27c | 43.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 42.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed Yes | 30c | 41.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 27c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 69c | 40.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 40.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 32c | 40.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f3…66bcbacked Yes | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.