Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23478a2ebc4db4a18e2d82477de6f84a50840406e0761eae4d87f916e73f9979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 0c | 2,136$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 55c | 645.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 491.01$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 26c | 441.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 401.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 385$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 35c | 382.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…6cfcbacked No | 80c | 376.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 8c | 350.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 7c | 348.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 58c | 347.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 22c | 258.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 225.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 27c | 218.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 203$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed No | 76c | 177.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 66c | 171.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 167.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 23c | 149.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 22c | 143$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 50c | 140.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 76c | 130.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 123.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 27c | 120$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 31c | 117.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 24c | 117.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 80c | 112$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 26c | 109.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 101.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes | 30c | 100.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…eae5backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 28c | 90.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 77c | 90.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 87.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 23c | 86.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 24c | 82.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 80.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…c1e6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 79.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 75.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 27c | 74.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 32c | 68.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 66.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 50c | 64.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 21c | 62.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 69c | 57.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 56.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 45c | 51.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 63c | 50.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 22c | 50.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 30c | 50.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…0e5dbacked No | 22c | 49.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 24c | 49.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 76c | 47.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 75c | 45.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Yes | 46c | 45.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 43.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 76c | 40.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 26c | 40.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 73c | 40.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 75c | 39.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…13b3backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 35.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 54c | 34.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked No | 73c | 33.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 77c | 32.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 39c | 32.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 64c | 30.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed No | 48c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 69c | 26.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 24.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 48c | 23.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 22.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.