MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37ca7f1fc8ce4849ba8684114fa0391fd1ccf4a06f88b85537ed791542a90ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Pittsburgh Pirates, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,715 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,744$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,500$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.89 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 845.54$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 583.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 575$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 490$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 473.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 463$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 301.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 291$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 231$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 217.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 210.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 201.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 143.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 140.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…5d41backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 128.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 93.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 73.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 70.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 67.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 66.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 55.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 39.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 29.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 26.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 23.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…8433backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.