TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rincon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Martinezof Alex Martinez, Daniel Rincon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alex Martinez60c3,420$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.136,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniel Rincon49c1,897$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Daniel Rincon68c1,705$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.2530056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Daniel Rincon20c1,536$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.772,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alex Martinez32c1,225$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.724,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Daniel Rincon22c1,145$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.782,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Daniel Rincon10c895.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.92,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Daniel Rincon66c856.91$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5633556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Martinez69c774$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.356,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Alex Martinez34c748.9$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1335032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Rincon53c631.01$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.334,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Alex Martinez61c618.7$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.291,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Daniel Rincon35c609.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alex Martinez53c574.06$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Martinez68c543.02$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Alex Martinez75c516.5$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7180153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Alex Martinez61c493.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6527240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Alex Martinez36c480.8$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7154138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Martinez56c462.63$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.762,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Rincon33c460.31$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.524,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Alex Martinez56c389.44$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alex Martinez46c386.3$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Alex Martinez80c370.47$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.531040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Daniel Rincon65c342.65$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7247552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Daniel Rincon24c317.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.542,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Martinez33c299.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.953,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Rincon30c242.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.313,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Daniel Rincon32c213.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5827247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Daniel Rincon9c210.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.915414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Daniel Rincon72c204.83$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4823965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Daniel Rincon55c200.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.443956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Martinez32c195$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.67,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alex Martinez39c192.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.531,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alex Martinez58c173.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.567,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Rincon64c161.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.233,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Alex Martinez73c151.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.325756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Daniel Rincon65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.910474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alex Martinez34c149.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.891,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52aa…505ebacked Daniel Rincon67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.02137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-65%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alex Martinez33c142.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.157,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Daniel Rincon66c135.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.146550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Daniel Rincon66c134.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7419754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Alex Martinez36c133.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4710829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Daniel Rincon67c125.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0371165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Daniel Rincon32c123.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Martinez33c123$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.411,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Alex Martinez65c106.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1448650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fb…47f9backed Alex Martinez33c95.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Daniel Rincon32c93.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.774042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Rincon29c91.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.352,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Alex Martinez63c83.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9743558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Alex Martinez35c76.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9755241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Alex Martinez59c75.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0531358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…89fdbacked Alex Martinez36c75.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.391323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Daniel Rincon66c73.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4929958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Daniel Rincon51c73.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2965264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Daniel Rincon40c72.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0838754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Daniel Rincon38c69.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7212548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Daniel Rincon65c69.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.995658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Alex Martinez36c67.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0315928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Daniel Rincon53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0147252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Daniel Rincon42c57.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2612831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd368…5813backed Alex Martinez35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.053522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Daniel Rincon66c53.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5616152.8%85 W · 76 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Daniel Rincon66c51.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2758453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Daniel Rincon57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.234650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Martinez39c46.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.332,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alex Martinez55c44.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Martinez60c43.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.427,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…7825backed Daniel Rincon47c43.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Daniel Rincon56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Daniel Rincon41c40.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4711041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb847…566dbacked Daniel Rincon65c39.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.457361.6%45 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Daniel Rincon35c39.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.645051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Alex Martinez65c39.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7354141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Daniel Rincon66c37.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4911959.7%71 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Daniel Rincon65c35.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3111953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex Martinez34c34.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9758232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Daniel Rincon65c30.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6533661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Daniel Rincon65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Alex Martinez64c29.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.784742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Daniel Rincon67c23.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.928968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Daniel Rincon66c23.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.677962%49 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Alex Martinez62c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7633…9f71backed Daniel Rincon46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Daniel Rincon51c21.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9974346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Daniel Rincon67c19.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2429952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Alex Martinez70c19.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8988273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Daniel Rincon65c18.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0917761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.