MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9d1e929facef5e4cf31789f64e0276b2433b6675da262c4802de85c8ede319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 2,828$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 2,040$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.96 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 1,676$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 1,416$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.87 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,204$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.46 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,176$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.81 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 754$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 658.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 394.83$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 345.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Colorado Rockies | 12c | 344.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 332.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 302.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 275.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 249.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 64c | 221.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 210.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Colorado Rockies | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 193.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 168.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado Rockies | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 77.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 65.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 59.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 48.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 47.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 31.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 26.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.