Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Alex Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db9510f640a4e4bd14c67fca4c03c67400be8ca59e8d9c32e8c4bffa255d65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Martinezof Valentin Royer, Alex Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valentin Royer | 64c | 5,772$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.06 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Alex Martinez | 27c | 1,932$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.15 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Martinez | 17c | 1,854$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valentin Royer | 73c | 1,647$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Alex Martinez | 8c | 1,525$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.15 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valentin Royer | 76c | 1,461$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Martinez | 13c | 1,335$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Martinez | 22c | 1,103$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.32 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Alex Martinez | 43c | 1,013$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Valentin Royer | 55c | 907.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Martinez | 14c | 884.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.68 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…e0e9backed Alex Martinez | 7c | 760.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.13 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Alex Martinez | 15c | 710.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valentin Royer | 60c | 609.29$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Valentin Royer | 75c | 585.33$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Alex Martinez | 18c | 526.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…8598backed Valentin Royer | 55c | 476.35$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Martinez | 24c | 439.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.81 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Alex Martinez | 12c | 414.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.36 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Martinez | 23c | 404.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Valentin Royer | 14c | 386.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Alex Martinez | 12c | 363.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.16 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Alex Martinez | 33c | 350.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Alex Martinez | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Martinez | 41c | 291.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Alex Martinez | 37c | 251.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 247.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 147 | 72.8%107 W · 40 L | +19.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Martinez | 26c | 244.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Alex Martinez | 50c | 236.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Valentin Royer | 33c | 217.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Alex Martinez | 22c | 207.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Alex Martinez | 75c | 196.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alex Martinez | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Valentin Royer | 60c | 168.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Valentin Royer | 69c | 162.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Valentin Royer | 54c | 161.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 148.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valentin Royer | 62c | 142.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Valentin Royer | 78c | 138.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Martinez | 33c | 138.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Alex Martinez | 9c | 137.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Martinez | 23c | 132.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alex Martinez | 23c | 127.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Martinez | 11c | 108.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…3f70backed Alex Martinez | 33c | 98.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Alex Martinez | 14c | 97.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Alex Martinez | 52c | 93.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Alex Martinez | 41c | 92.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 85.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Alex Martinez | 32c | 84.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Alex Martinez | 17c | 83.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Alex Martinez | 27c | 75.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alex Martinez | 34c | 67.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Valentin Royer | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Alex Martinez | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alex Martinez | 28c | 52.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Valentin Royer | 76c | 45.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alex Martinez | 32c | 42.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Alex Martinez | 38c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Alex Martinez | 27c | 36.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…85edbacked Valentin Royer | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alex Martinez | 35c | 30.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…a08abacked Valentin Royer | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Valentin Royer | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Valentin Royer | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…5d40backed Valentin Royer | 74c | 20.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…4a95backed Valentin Royer | 72c | 20.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Valentin Royer | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Alex Martinez | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Valentin Royer | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 15.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Alex Martinezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs MartinezRoyer won
- Valentin Royer vs. Alex Martinez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.